Monday, November 7, 2011

Iran: Iraq 2.0?

So I'm sitting at my desk 5 days before an exam thinking what an interesting place the world is right now and how much I wish everyone would take psilocybin mushrooms. It's like some fucked up futuristic political thriller co-written by Orwell & Huxley. 

Sovereign debt crises, wars, famines, natural disasters, environmental rape and of course how could I forget the media hype about Kim Kartrashian's marriage to some fuckwit who was dumb enough to put a ring on her finger instead of a finger in her ring.

But what really interests me aside from who Warney bangs is this Iran brouhaha. After Gaddafi got a dagger in the sphincter, for his overtures to China & Russia killing his own people he was displayed in the frozen section of the Libyan supermarket and Iran was firmly back on the agenda. Last week the US made allegations of an assassination plot hatched by the Iranian's to kill a Saudi Ambassador on US sovereign land, which if true is an act of war and if it is false a pretext for war. I guess we shouldn't hold our breaths for compelling evidence, considering the US hasn't provided any evidence to show Bin Laden was involved in 9/11. The Iranian's have categorically denied such a plot and demanded an apology but something tells me they won't get one and if they do, it'll be in the form of air strikes. In a country that boasts a literacy rate of 70%, I find it hard to believe they'd be so stupid, especially considering they were allegedly trying to use a Mexican cartel as proxy. Nonetheless "all options are on the table." Except the peaceful ones.

Then this week, the I.A.E.A. is to deliver a report to the United Nations on Iran's nuclear program, detailing how they are close to getting enough fissionable material for a warhead and the capability to use one. This has been with information gathered from intelligence agencies around the world. Oh that puts me at ease, knowing that the same intelligence agencies who manipulated intelligence demonstrating Iraq had WMD's are still percussionists in the war drum orchestra that is the Western oligarchy. This is reminiscent of the procedures that preceded the invasion of Iraq because of Sadaam's intention to price his oil in Euro's when the sanctions lifted nuclear program that was mysteriously never found. But it's ok, Sadaam is dead and the Iraqi's have a democracy and a McDonalds. Ask Michael Ware what he thinks about that.

As a political realist, I can empathise with the Iranian's for wanting to get themselves a few nukes. I mean being labelled part of an "axis of evil" and surrounded by US military bases, who wouldn't want that deterrent? It's not like the US has a history of overthrowing governments and installing a despot like the Shah so Western oil interests are safe.



"Oh but *****, you can't have religious extremists in possession of nuclear weapons!" Unless of course, you're talking about Israel where zealots with American weaponry is par for the course.. but that's not to say I don't agree with the proposition that religious crazies shouldn't have WMD's. But maybe the threat of mutually assured destruction will bring the parties to the table and see a peaceful resolution? LOL. Iranian President Ahmadinejad has reportedly said he "will wipe Israel off the map", which is pretty much what the Israeli's are doing to the Palestinians. It's that whole "eye for an eye" bollocks.  

Coincidentally, Iran also happens to be sitting on the world's 4th largest oil & gas reserves, something the Chinese are hungry to get their hands on to fuel their incredible economic growth. They are also in talks to have a gas pipeline running to India and by virtue of their energy reserves alone, are a potential regional superpower with an educated population of 78 million. Former CIA officer Robert Baer has written extensively on an Iranian superpower and what that means for US hegemony. This brings us to the juiciest part of this game of international energy chess, thanks to Wikileaks, we know the Saudi's want the American's to strike Iran. They don't like each other, as the Saudi's comprise the Sunni sect of Islam and the Iranian's the Shiite sect and they have a long history of not getting along. But it may very well be a case of who hits the Iranian nuclear facilities first; Israel or the US?

The Israeli's are worried about what a nuclear Iran will mean for their dominance in the region and the war crimes they're currently committing in the form of settlements in the West Bank. The Americans are jizzing at the prospect of controlling the worlds 4th largest oil reserve and containing Chinese influence, forgetting what a clusterfuck Iraq turned out to be. Israel may very well strike Iran without Washington's approval, something that deeply worries the US, as trigger happy Jews might drag the US into another conflict in the Middle-East, something that they can ill afford at this point in time. But hey, when your currency is backed by oil and you can just print more money whenever you need, who cares about the cost?

Israel will not tolerate a nuclear Iran, just like they wouldn't tolerate a nuclear Iraq in 1981 or a nuclear Syria in 2007. They see Iran as a threat to their very existence. Israel's PM Binyamin Netanyahu said "the year is 1938 and Iran is Germany." I got news for you pal, after the Germans got levelled, the only nation I know of invading others land and claiming to be a master race was Israel. It's an incredible irony that those who suffered the worst at the hands of racial supremacy, are now its most fervent advocates. The oppressed become oppressors.

For Israel, this marks the biggest decision since the establishment of the state of Israel in 1948. There are rumours of a consensus among Israel's security elite about a pre-emptive strike on Iran and if that's the case, they'd better do it properly, because if they do, the Shiite will hit the fan and start a real big bonfire. If Iran was hit, they will retaliate and hit a Saudi oil installation, maybe attack some oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and drop a bucket load of sea mines, not to mention send some rockets into Tel Aviv. That would send the price of oil to $10/L and make the oil crisis of the 1970's seem like child's play, crash every western economy and draw the whole world into this bullshit conflict. 

I just hope the coverage is good, there are journo's there like Michael Ware and Al Jazeera's compound doesn't get bombed. Again. 








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